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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 56.22%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Notts County |
| 21.95% ( | 21.83% ( | 56.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( | 40.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.59% ( | 62.41% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( | 31.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% ( | 68.21% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.87% ( | 14.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.23% ( | 41.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 3-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 21.95% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0-2 @ 8.6% ( 1-3 @ 6.43% ( 0-3 @ 5.61% ( 2-3 @ 3.69% ( 1-4 @ 3.15% ( 0-4 @ 2.75% ( 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0-5 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.22% |