National League

May 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Wembley Stadium

Chesterfield
2 - 2
Notts County

Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')

FT
(aet)

Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')

Notts County win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Notts County record a penalty-shootout victory over Chesterfield in the National League playoff final to earn promotion to League Two.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Chesterfield and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Bromley
Sunday, May 7 at 3.40pm in National League

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Boreham Wood
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

117

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
40.28% ( 0.02)	22.71% ( -0.01)	37.01% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 66.44% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.59% (

0.02)

34.4% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.68% (

0.02)

56.32% (

-0.02)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.24% (

0.01)

17.76% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.55% (

0.03)

48.45% (

-0.03)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78% (

-0)

19.21% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.09% (

-0)

50.9% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 40.28%

Notts County 37.01%

Draw 22.71%

Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 40.28%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.01%