Aldershot Town
Altrincham
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Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
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Gateshead
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Maidstone United
National League | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gallagher Stadium
Notts County

Maidstone
2 - 5
Notts County

Deacon (70'), Fowler (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Scott (5'), O'Brien (14', 60', 89' pen.), Rodrigues (83')
Coverage of the National League clash between Maidstone United and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halifax 3-0 Maidstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Woking
Saturday, April 15 at 5.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 11.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Maidstone UnitedDrawNotts County
11.58% (0.021000000000001 0.02)15.32% (0.013999999999999 0.01)73.11% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)28.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.56% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)49.44% (0.012 0.01)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (0.030000000000001 0.03)36.66% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)73.44% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)6.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.05% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)24.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Maidstone United 11.58%
    Notts County 73.11%
    Draw 15.32%
Maidstone UnitedDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
2-0 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 11.58%
1-1 @ 6.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 15.32%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.99% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 8.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 8.08% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 5.46% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-4 @ 5.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.07% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-5 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 2.93% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.74%
2-5 @ 1.48%
1-6 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
0-6 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 73.11%

How you voted: Maidstone vs Notts County

Maidstone United
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Notts County
100%
5
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Notts County
3-0
Maidstone
Langstaff (44'), Rodrigues (52'), Scott (63')