Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.