Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 78.34%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 8.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 78.34% ( | 13.53% ( | 8.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.91% ( | 31.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.5% ( | 52.49% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.66% ( | 6.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.19% ( | 23.8% ( |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.83% ( | 45.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.93% ( | 81.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 3-0 @ 10.01% ( 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 3-1 @ 7.96% ( 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 4-0 @ 6.91% ( 4-1 @ 5.49% ( 5-0 @ 3.81% ( 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 5-1 @ 3.03% ( 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 6-0 @ 1.75% ( 6-1 @ 1.39% ( 5-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.97% Total : 78.33% | 1-1 @ 6.27% ( 2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0-0 @ 2.86% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 13.54% | 1-2 @ 2.49% ( 0-1 @ 2.27% ( 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0-2 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 8.12% |