National League Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Macaulay Langstaff 45'+1' goal
  • goal Shaq Forde 88'

Notts County vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Maidstone 2 - 5 Notts County
Goals scored
117
Top scorer
Macaulay Langstaff

York City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
York City 2 - 2 Aldershot
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lenell John-Lewis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 84.76%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 4.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 4-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Notts County 84.76% (-0.13)
Draw 10.24% (+0.06)
York City 4.99% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.37% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.42% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 27.58% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 51.78% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 48.21% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 32.39% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 67.6% (-0.03)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 95.45% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 4.54% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 81.42% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 18.57% (+0.05)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 48.57% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 51.42% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 14.37% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 85.62% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Notts County 84.74%
Draw 10.24%
York City 4.99%
Notts County
3-0 @ 11.5% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 11.15% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 8.9% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.65% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.42% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 5.5% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 3.66%
6-0 @ 2.84% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
7-0 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 84.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.8% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.47% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 10.24%
York City
1-2 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 4.99%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Bootham Crescent
  • Fraser Kerr 35' goal
  • goal Quevin de Castro 5'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 43'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 80'
League Two
Feb 13, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Michael Coulson 24' goal
  • Bradley Fewster 39' goal
  • Michael Coulson 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gary MacKenzie 28'
  • goal Lubomir Satka 63' (OG)
  • yellowcard Izale McLeod 66'
  • yellowcard Haydn Hollis 74'
League Two
Sep 26, 2015 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Izale McLeod 12' goal
  • Stanley Aborah 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Carson 36'
  • yellowcard Femi Ilesanmi 37'
  • yellowcard Reece Thompson 41'
  • yellowcard James Berrett 47'
  • yellowcard Russell Penn 66'