National League | Gameweek 45

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Bootham Crescent

York City
2 - 2
Aldershot

John-Lewis (56' pen.), Jordan (70' og.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mnoga (16'), Frost (90+1')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-2 York City
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 0-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Aldershot Town
49.36% ( 5.63)	23.88% ( -1.34)	26.76% ( -4.28)

Both teams to score 57.11% (

1.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.48% (

3.43)

44.52% (

-3.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.11% (

3.24)

66.89% (

-3.24)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

3.78)

18.13% (

-3.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91% (

6.08)

49.09% (

-6.08)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

-1.29)

30.24% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

-1.58)

66.41% (

1.58)

Score Analysis

York City 49.36%

Aldershot Town 26.76%

Draw 23.87%

York City	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.85) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.85) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.41) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.58) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.54) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.55% Total : 49.36%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.74) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.86) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.7) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -1.3) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.95) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.45) Other @ 3.08% Total : 26.76%