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EFL Cup

Harrogate Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Carlisle United

Harrogate
1 - 0
Carlisle

Folarin (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
27.46% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)25.28%47.25% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)50.08% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)72.05% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)32.63% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)69.17% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 27.46%
    Carlisle United 47.25%
    Draw 25.27%
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 7.75%
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.46%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.82%
0-3 @ 4.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.25%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Carlisle

Harrogate Town
22.2%
Draw
44.4%
Carlisle United
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carlisle
0-1
Harrogate
Huntington (82' og.)
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Harrogate
3-3
Carlisle
Armstrong (28'), Burrell (60'), Headley (76')
Charters (12'), Edmondson (50'), Moxon (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Harrogate
3-0
Carlisle
Diamond (18', 90+1'), McArdle (27')
Austerfield (66'), Sheron (70'), (72')

Devine (35'), Feeney (56')
Jan 4, 2022 7pm
Third Round
Harrogate
1-0
Carlisle
Armstrong (7')
Diarra (32'), Diamond (73')

Dickenson (33')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Carlisle
0-2
Harrogate

Guy (57')
Thomson (45+1'), Pattison (78')
Sheron (41'), Burrell (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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