/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffleelog.png)
-
Paul Huntington
4'
-
Owen Moxon
36'
-
Jon Mellish
45'+2'
-
Scott Brown
5'
-
Brendan Wiredu
45'+4'
-
Aristote Nsiala
73'
-
Josh Earl
85'
-
Shaun Rooney
90'+6'
Carlisle United vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F21%2Fcarlisle-united.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Carlisle United
41.5%
▼
(-1.38)
Draw
27.53%
▲
(+0.21)
Fleetwood Town
30.97%
▲
(+1.18)
Both Teams to Score:
48.24%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.74%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 2.5
57.26%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 3.5
21.9%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 3.5
78.1%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 4.5
9.45%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
90.55%
▲
(+0.17)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
72.83%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 0.5
27.17%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 1.5
37.43%
▼
(-1.19)
Under 1.5
62.57%
▲
(+1.18)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
66.24%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 0.5
33.76%
▼
(-0.69)
Over 1.5
29.58%
▲
(+0.74)
Under 1.5
70.42%
▼
(-0.74)
Score analysis
Carlisle United
41.5%
Draw
27.52%
Fleetwood Town
30.97%
Carlisle United
1-0
@
11.95%
▼
(-0.15)
2-1 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.22)
3-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.5%
2-1 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.22)
3-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.5%
Draw
1-1
@
12.97%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.52%
0-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.52%
Fleetwood Town
0-1
@
9.96%
▲
(+0.32)
1-2 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.27)
1-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.97%
1-2 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.27)
1-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.97%
