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Championship header 2

League One

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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Bolton
2 - 0
Fleetwood

Omochere (18' og.), Dempsey (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
53.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)25.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)21.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)55.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (0.012 0.01)76.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)20.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (0.029000000000003 0.03)53.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)41.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.01% (-0.012 -0.01)77.99% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.43%
    Fleetwood Town 21.14%
    Draw 25.41%
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 13.57%
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.43%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 21.14%

How you voted: Bolton vs Fleetwood

Bolton Wanderers
100%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Fleetwood
1-2
Bolton
Mendes Gomes (16')
Bradley (85'), Afolayan (90+5')
Morley (45')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Bolton
4-2
Fleetwood
Charles (37', 86'), John (53'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+6')
Baggley (17'), Garner (79')
Boyle (42'), Garner (82'), Pilkington (90+2')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Fleetwood
3-0
Bolton
Garner (6'), Biggins (77', 79')
Hayes (26'), McLaughlin (35')

Santos (73')
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Bolton
1-0
Fleetwood
Lee (34')

Biggins (54'), Clark (56'), Teale (63')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
gameweek 40
Fleetwood
P-P
Bolton