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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 38.87% ( | 26.66% ( | 34.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( | 53.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( | 74.71% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( | 26.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( | 61.94% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( | 29.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( | 65.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 3-0 @ 3% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.46% |