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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Harrogate Town

Accrington
2 - 1
Harrogate

McConville (28'), Nolan (90+8')
Bagueloc'rich (3'), McConville (46'), Quirk (71'), Coyle (87'), Conneely (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Burrell (83')
Folarin (27'), Daly (34'), Mattock (45'), Falkingham (90+5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawHarrogate Town
38.87% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)26.66% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)34.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.83% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.118 0.12)53.14% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.101 0.1)74.71% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.052000000000007 0.05)26.69% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.067999999999998 0.07)61.94% (-0.064 -0.06)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (0.081000000000003 0.08)29.3% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.74% (0.096999999999994 0.1)65.26% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 38.86%
    Harrogate Town 34.46%
    Draw 26.66%
Accrington StanleyDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.46%

rhs 2.0


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