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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Barrow

Accrington
1 - 1
Barrow

McConville (36')
Hills (71'), Adedoyin (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Acauah (87')
Spence (51')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Sutton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBarrow
35.77% (0.358 0.36)26.71% (-0.099 -0.1)37.52% (-0.254 -0.25)
Both teams to score 51.85% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.82% (0.431 0.43)53.18% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.366 0.37)74.75% (-0.361 -0.36)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (0.429 0.43)28.51% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (0.533 0.53)64.28% (-0.527 -0.53)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (0.058000000000007 0.06)27.47% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (0.073 0.07)62.96% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 35.77%
    Barrow 37.51%
    Draw 26.7%
Accrington StanleyDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.77%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 37.51%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Accrington
2-2
Barrow
Bishop (32', 50')
Moonan (73')
Arthur (49'), Banks (72' pen.)
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Barrow
0-1
Accrington

Taylor (60'), Ntlhe (62')
Mansell (4')
Barclay (7'), Burgess (79'), Scully (88')