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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barrow |
| 35.77% ( | 26.71% ( | 37.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.82% ( | 53.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.25% ( | 74.75% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( | 28.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.72% ( | 64.28% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( | 27.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.03% ( | 62.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.77% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 37.51% |