EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
2 - 1
Forest U21s

Thomson (56' pen.), O'Connor (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Esapa Osong (84')
Hanks (55'), Perry (71'), Collins (85'), Esapa Osong (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Harrogate Town and Nottingham Forest Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Barrow
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Brighton U21s 1-0 Forest U21s
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.97%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 21.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 1-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Harrogate Town in this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Nottingham Forest Under-21s
57.97% ( -0.18)	20.78% ( 0.04)	21.25% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 61.34% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.05% (

0.04)

35.95% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.96% (

0.04)

58.04% (

-0.04)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.74% (

-0.04)

12.26% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62% (

-0.08)

38% (

0.09)

Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92% (

0.16)

30.08% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78% (

0.19)

66.22% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 57.97%

Nottingham Forest Under-21s 21.25%

Draw 20.78%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Nottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 57.97%	1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.78%	1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 21.25%