Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.97%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 21.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 1-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Harrogate Town in this match.