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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barrow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 30.14% ( | 26.79% ( | 43.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.26% ( | 54.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( | 76.05% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( | 33.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% ( | 69.63% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( | 25.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.08% ( | 59.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.14% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0-2 @ 7.91% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.06% |