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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Wrexham |
| 31.04% ( | 27.16% | 41.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.16% ( | 55.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.04% ( | 76.96% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( | 32.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% ( | 69.54% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( | 26.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( | 61.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.04% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.79% |