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Championship header 2

League Two

Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Walsall

Wrexham
4 - 2
Walsall

Boyle (8', 8'), Palmer (20', 20'), Bickerstaff (56', 56'), Lee (85')
Palmer (16'), Palmer (16')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Hussey (24', 24'), Forde (90+1' og.)
McEntee (35'), McEntee (35'), Foulkes (53'), Foulkes (53'), Oteh (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two

Walsall

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawWalsall
56.97% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)22.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)20.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)44.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)66.6% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)15.3% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.98% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)44.02% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61% (0.007000000000005 0.01)35.38% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.14% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.97%
    Walsall 20.64%
    Draw 22.38%
WrexhamDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 56.97%
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 20.64%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Walsall

Wrexham
71.4%
Draw
17.9%
Walsall
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2007 3pm
Walsall
1-0
Wrexham
Demontagnac (61')
Dec 16, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Walsall
Llewellyn (68')
Pejic (5'), Valentine (71')
Sam (27')
Fox (43'), Butler (53'), Roper (57'), Pead (71')
Feb 5, 2005 3pm
Walsall
2-2
Wrexham
Wrack (20'), Leitão (42')
Taylor (38'), Wrack (58')
Llewellyn (22'), Ferguson (12')
Jones (56')
Oct 16, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
1-1
Walsall
Lawrence (16')
Bennett (74')