EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
4 - 3
Walsall

Gilsenan (21', 21'), Ennis (40', 40'), Garrett (50', 50'), Buckley (67')

FT(HT: 4-4)

McEntee (19', 19'), Tierney (37', 37'), Maher (84')
Johnson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Walsall

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Walsall
40.02% ( -0)	26.02%	33.96% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.85% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.47%

50.52% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.55%

72.44% (

-0)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13% (

-0)

24.86% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.53% (

-0)

59.47%

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

28.33% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93% (

64.06% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 40.02%

Walsall 33.96%

Draw 26.01%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Walsall
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.02%	1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.96%