Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.