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Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Swindon Town

Wrexham
5 - 5
Swindon

Bickerstaff (29'), Lee (51' pen., 90+6'), Jones (55', 90+2')
Boyle (76')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Young (17', 34'), Austin (27'), Kemp (31', 71')
Brewitt (20'), Kemp (56'), Blake-Tracy (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 4-2 Walsall
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawSwindon Town
44.43% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)23.84% (0.0040000000000013 0)31.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-0.012 -0.01)41.38% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.012 -0.01)63.78% (0.012 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96%60.04%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 44.43%
    Swindon Town 31.73%
    Draw 23.83%
WrexhamDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 44.43%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.73%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Swindon

Wrexham
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Swindon Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2007 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Wrexham
Zaaboub (9'), Roberts (71' pen.)
Weston (55')
Williams (8')
Mitchell (37'), Roche (56'), Spender (63')
Sep 9, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Swindon
Valentine (68' pen.), Jones (69')
Williams (27'), Roche (34')
Evans (28')
Brown (58'), Brezovan (69'), Peacock (79')
Mar 19, 2005 3pm
Swindon
4-2
Wrexham
Smith (80'), Parkin (40', 76', 90' pen.)
Sam (32'), Ugarte (16')
Llewellyn (84')
Aug 7, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Swindon
Lawrence (24'), Armstrong (73' pen.)
Holt (66'), Ferguson (89')

Gurney (57')