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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 44.43% ( | 23.84% ( | 31.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.61% ( | 41.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% ( | 63.78% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( | 18.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.64% ( | 50.36% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( | 25.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% | 60.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 44.43% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.73% |