League Two

League Two | Gameweek 3

Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
1 - 2
Swindon

Stevens (14')
Omotoye (13'), Bunker (42'), Kadji (70'), Bernard (72'), Daniels (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kemp (47'), Blake-Tracy (90+4')
Kinsella (26'), Blake-Tracy (45+4'), Godwin-Malife (85')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Forest Green
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 2-2 Crewe
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Swindon Town
19.41% ( 1.13)	21.89% ( 0.78)	58.69% ( -1.91)

Both teams to score 54.34% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.24% (

-1.78)

43.76% (

1.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.85% (

-1.77)

66.15% (

1.77)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.62% (

0.17)

36.38% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.83% (

0.17)

73.16% (

-0.17)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.41% (

-1.17)

14.58% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.34% (

-2.3)

42.66% (

2.3)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 19.41%

Swindon Town 58.69%

Draw 21.88%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.41%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.88%	0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 6.31% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.28) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.29) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.16) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.69%