Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
19.41% ( 1.13) | 21.89% ( 0.78) | 58.69% ( -1.91) |
Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.24% ( -1.78) | 43.76% ( 1.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.85% ( -1.77) | 66.15% ( 1.77) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.62% ( 0.17) | 36.38% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.83% ( 0.17) | 73.16% ( -0.17) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.41% ( -1.17) | 14.58% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.34% ( -2.3) | 42.66% ( 2.3) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.41% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 6.31% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.28) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.29) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.16) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |