EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Omotoye (24')
Robertson (17'), Bunker (23'), Robson (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Yengi (30', 75' pen.), Swanson (52')
Yengi (12'), Scully (32'), Devlin (58')

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Forest Green Rovers and Portsmouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Salford City
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Portsmouth
16.82% ( 2.09)	21.71% ( 1.21)	61.48% ( -3.3)

Both teams to score 50.01% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.94% (

-1.3)

47.06% (

1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.7% (

-1.22)

69.3% (

1.22)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.7% (

1.97)

41.31% (

-1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.17% (

1.7)

77.83% (

-1.7)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21% (

-1.43)

14.79% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.94% (

-2.8)

43.06% (

2.8)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 16.82%

Portsmouth 61.47%

Draw 21.7%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.82%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.57) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.7%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 11.15% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 7.11% ( -0.75) 1-3 @ 6.29% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 3.4% ( -0.56) 1-4 @ 3% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.29) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.44% Total : 61.47%