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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
20.5% ( 0.29) | 23.01% ( 0.3) | 56.48% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.86% ( -0.89) | 47.14% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.62% ( -0.84) | 69.38% ( 0.83) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% ( -0.21) | 37.2% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.02% ( -0.2) | 73.98% ( 0.2) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( -0.52) | 16.48% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.8% ( -0.95) | 46.2% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.5% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.99% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.15% Total : 56.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |