League One Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Harrison Dunk 25' goal
  • Sam Smith 37' goal

Cambridge United vs Forest Green Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Burton Albion 1 - 0 Cambridge
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Forest Green 0 - 3 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Connor Wickham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cambridge United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result

Cambridge United 51.16% (-2.42)
Draw 25.48% (+0.96)
Forest Green Rovers 23.36% (+1.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.71% (-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.03% (-2.31)
Under 2.5 53.96% (+2.31)
Over 3.5 24.59% (-1.97)
Under 3.5 75.41% (+1.97)
Over 4.5 11.1% (-1.27)
Under 4.5 88.9% (+1.26)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5 78.88% (-1.90)
Under 0.5 21.12% (+1.90)
Over 1.5 46.04% (-3.04)
Under 1.5 53.96% (+3.04)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 61.75% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 38.24% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 25% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 75% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Cambridge United 51.15%
Draw 25.48%
Forest Green Rovers 23.36%
Cambridge United
1-0 @ 12.55% (+0.41)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.45)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.42)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.20)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.31)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.29)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 51.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% (+0.42)
0-0 @ 8.08% (+0.71)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.48%
Forest Green Rovers
0-1 @ 7.76% (+0.70)
1-2 @ 5.8% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 3.73% (+0.35)
1-3 @ 1.86% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (+0.12)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.36%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Josh March 37' goal
  • Connor Wickham 90'+3' goal
  • goal Saikou Janneh 89'
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Joe Ironside 32' yellowcard
  • Wes Hoolahan 38' goal
  • yellowcard Kane Wilson 23'
  • yellowcard Jamille Matt 76'
League Two Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Jamille Matt 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 58' goal
  • Jamille Matt 65' goal
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 18, 2020 3.00pm
The New Lawn
League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 7, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Liam O'Neil 5' yellowcard
  • Paul Lewis 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Stevens 21'
  • yellowcard Joseph Mills 69'
  • goal Jack Aitchison 78'
  • yellowcard Liam Kitching 84'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The New Lawn (Nailsworth, Gloucestershire)
  • Gavin Gunning 24' goal
  • Christian Doidge 76' goal
  • goal Paul Lewis 66'
  • yellowcard Tom Knowles 87'