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League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Cambridge
2 - 0
Forest Green

Dunk (25'), Smith (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bunker (74'), Cooper (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Cambridge
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

We think the U's will be licking their lips at this fixture as they are taking on a Forest Green Rovers side that are in woeful form. Bonner's side need a victory to try and beat the drop, so we are expecting a fast start from Cambridge to set the tone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cambridge United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawForest Green Rovers
51.16% (-2.416 -2.42) 25.48% (0.959 0.96) 23.36% (1.457 1.46)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-1.083 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03% (-2.307 -2.31)53.96% (2.309 2.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (-1.97 -1.97)75.41% (1.969 1.97)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (-1.893 -1.89)21.12% (1.893 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (-3.03 -3.03)53.96% (3.03 3.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (0.107 0.11)38.24% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (0.103 0.1)75% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 51.15%
    Forest Green Rovers 23.36%
    Draw 25.48%
Cambridge UnitedDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.255 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.448 -0.45)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.416 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.303 -0.3)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.285 -0.29)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.42 0.42)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.704 0.7)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.697 0.7)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.218 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.345 0.35)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.36%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Forest Green

Cambridge United
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Forest Green Rovers
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 1pm
gameweek 20
Forest Green
2-1
Cambridge
March (37'), Wickham (90+3' pen.)
Casey (45+1')
Janneh (89')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 37
Cambridge
1-0
Forest Green
Hoolahan (38')
Ironside (32')

Wilson (23'), Matt (76')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
gameweek 17
Forest Green
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (58'), Matt (65' pen.)
Matt (45+1')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
gameweek 7
Cambridge
0-1
Forest Green

O'Neil (5'), Lewis (85')
Aitchison (78')
Stevens (21'), Mills (69'), Kitching (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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