MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 12:49:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 38
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge United

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cambridge

Helm (28')
Latty-Fairweather (13'), Kirk (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrison (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Cambridge United

We expect Cambridge United to rise to the occasion and claim a vital victory over Burton Albion, who can afford to take their foot off the gas having secured their League One status for another season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
51.23% (1.924 1.92) 24% (-0.419 -0.42) 24.77% (-1.507 -1.51)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (0.553 0.55)46.73% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31% (0.518 0.52)69% (-0.52 -0.52)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.96899999999999 0.97)18.26% (-0.971 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (1.627 1.63)49.3% (-1.63 -1.63)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.93300000000001 -0.93)33.02% (0.93 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-1.047 -1.05)69.6% (1.045 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 51.23%
    Cambridge United 24.77%
    Draw 23.99%
Burton AlbionDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.72% (0.331 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.237 0.24)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.332 0.33)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.168 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.201 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.334 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.77%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cambridge

Burton Albion
51.4%
Draw
24.3%
Cambridge United
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
gameweek 4
Cambridge
3-0
Burton Albion
Smith (53'), Hamer (73' og., 79' og.)
Jones (34')

Mancienne (18'), Brayford (71')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Burton Albion
2-4
Cambridge
Akins (3'), Powell (4')
Gallagher (20'), Daniel (45+3')
Knibbs (27'), Hannant (31', 86'), Darling (79')
Digby (73'), Knibbs (90')
May 2, 2015 3pm
Cambridge
2-3
Burton Albion
Elliott (25'), Simpson (69' pen.)
Beavon (11'), Edwards (77'), Stewart (88')
Taft (55'), Mousinho (69'), McCrory (86')
McLaughlan (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!