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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Cambridge United |
51.23% ( 1.92) | 24% ( -0.42) | 24.77% ( -1.51) |
Both teams to score 54.75% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.26% ( 0.55) | 46.73% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31% ( 0.52) | 69% ( -0.52) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.74% ( 0.97) | 18.26% ( -0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.7% ( 1.63) | 49.3% ( -1.63) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.98% ( -0.93) | 33.02% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.39% ( -1.05) | 69.6% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.23% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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