League One Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Niall Ennis 45' goal

Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Plymouth 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Ryan Hardie

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Lincoln 0 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Victor Adeboyejo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 12.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result

Plymouth Argyle 69.92% (+0.05)
Draw 17.71% (-0.03)
Burton Albion 12.38% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.07% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.51% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 38.49% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 39.22% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 60.79% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 21.51% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 78.49% (-0.04)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 90.11% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 9.89% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 67.23% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 32.77% (-0.06)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 57.79% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 42.21% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.38% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 78.62% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 69.91%
Draw 17.71%
Burton Albion 12.38%
Plymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 11.17%
1-0 @ 9.66% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.62% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.43% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.98% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 69.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.33% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 17.71%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.59% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 12.38%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Bobby Kamwa 41' goal
  • Adrian Mariappa 90'+7' goal
  • goal Ryan Hardie 64'
  • goal Bali Mumba 73'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Powell 84' yellowcard
  • Jacob Maddox 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 82'
League One Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Conor Grant 15' goal
  • Ryan Broom 43' goal
  • Dan Scarr 60' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Akins 59'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Sean Clare 19' yellowcard
  • Ryan Broom 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Kelland Watts 28'
  • yellowcard Danny Mayor 56'
  • goal Ryan Hardie 69'
  • yellowcard Jerome Opoku 74'
League One Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Luke Jephcott 25' goal
  • Byron Moore 47' goal
  • Kelland Watts 63' yellowcard
  • Niall Canavan 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kane Hemmings 58'
  • yellowcard Colin Daniel 83'
League One Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium (Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Will Miller 4' goal
  • Kieran Wallace 73' yellowcard
  • Damien McCrory 77' yellowcard
  • Stephen Quinn 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ashley Smith-Brown 49'
  • goal Ruben Lameiras 52'
  • yellowcard Antoni Sarcevic 80'