Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 12.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.