League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Ennis (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 12.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Burton Albion
69.92% ( 0.05)	17.71% ( -0.02)	12.38% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.07% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.51% (

0.05)

38.49% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.22% (

0.05)

60.79% (

-0.05)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.11% (

0.03)

9.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.23% (

0.06)

32.77% (

-0.06)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.79% (

-0.01)

42.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.38% (

-0.01)

78.62% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 69.91%

Burton Albion 12.38%

Draw 17.71%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Burton Albion
2-0 @ 11.17% 1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 4.76% Total : 69.91%	1-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.71%	0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 12.38%