League One Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Killian Phillips 53' goal
  • goal Joe Edwards 68'
  • goal Callum Wright 90'+5'

Shrewsbury Town vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 1 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Luke Leahy

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 12.00pm
Exeter 0 - 1 Plymouth
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Ryan Hardie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result

Shrewsbury Town 29.24% (+0.78)
Draw 25.27% (+0.11)
Plymouth Argyle 45.48% (-0.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.32% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.97% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.03% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28.89% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 71.11% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.91% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.09% (-0.01)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.25% (+0.58)
Under 0.5 30.75% (-0.58)
Over 1.5 32.99% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 67.01% (-0.67)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 78.44% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 21.56% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 45.36% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 54.64% (+0.60)

Score analysis

Shrewsbury Town 29.24%
Draw 25.27%
Plymouth Argyle 45.48%
Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 7.82% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 7.07% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 4.61% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 2.78% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.13% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.81% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.27%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.48%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Home Park
  • Niall Ennis 70' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 83' goal
  • goal Jordan Shipley 30'
League One Gameweek 33
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Houghton 32' yellowcard
  • Panutche Camara 54' yellowcard
  • Conor Grant 62' goal
  • James Bolton 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Vela 34'
League One Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luke Leahy 39' yellowcard
  • Josh Vela 77' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Hardie 24'
  • yellowcard Ryan Broom 40'
  • goal Luke Jephcott 50'
  • goal Ryan Hardie 65'
League One Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Will Aimson 52' goal
  • Oliver Norburn 75' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 77' goal
  • Nathanael Ogbeta 81' goal
  • Josh Vela 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Panutche Camara 44'
League One Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Home Park
  • Conor Grant 29' goal
  • Niall Canavan 73' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Vela 14'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park (Plymouth)
  • Freddie Ladapo 8' goal
  • Graham Carey 89' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun Whalley 37'
  • goal Oliver Norburn 60'
  • yellowcard Anthony Grant 76'
  • yellowcard Luke Waterfall 86'