League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
1 - 2
Plymouth

Phillips (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Edwards (68'), Wright (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Plymouth
Saturday, April 15 at 12pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
29.24% ( 0.78)	25.27% ( 0.1)	45.48% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 54.32% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.97% (

0.01)

49.03% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.89% (

71.11% (

-0)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.25% (

0.57)

30.75% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.99% (

0.67)

67.01% (

-0.67)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.44% (

-0.39)

21.56% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.36% (

-0.6)

54.64% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 29.24%

Plymouth Argyle 45.48%

Draw 25.27%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.24%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.48%