League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Ennis (51'), Gillesphey (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Bristol Rovers
64.5% ( 0.02)	19.55% ( -0.02)	15.95% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.38% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.01% (

0.08)

38.99% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.69% (

0.08)

61.31% (

-0.08)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.59% (

0.03)

11.4% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.83% (

0.06)

36.16% (

-0.06)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.51% (

0.04)

37.48% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.73% (

0.04)

74.26% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 64.49%

Bristol Rovers 15.95%

Draw 19.55%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Bristol Rovers
2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.14% Total : 64.49%	1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.55%	1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 15.95%