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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Bristol Rovers

Plymouth
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Ennis (51'), Gillesphey (56')
Matete (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Evans (13'), Barton (14'), Loft (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Bristol Rovers

While Plymouth have not necessarily been at their best of late, they have still managed to churn out a number of key victories. We feel that will remain the same on Tuesday, leading us to predict another win with a clean sheet being posted in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
64.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 19.55% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 15.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.01% (0.075000000000003 0.08)38.99% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.69% (0.079000000000001 0.08)61.31% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (0.027000000000001 0.03)11.4% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.83% (0.061 0.06)36.16% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (0.039000000000001 0.04)37.48% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)74.26% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 64.49%
    Bristol Rovers 15.95%
    Draw 19.55%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.88% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 64.49%
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.95%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Bristol Rovers

Plymouth Argyle
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
Bristol Rovers
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Plymouth

Loft (85'), Thomas (90+5')
Waine (24'), Hardie (32')
Matete (71'), Lonwijk (77'), Ennis (88')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Plymouth
Coburn (47'), Collins (57')
Azaz (14'), Randell (45+2')
Houghton (23')
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Plymouth
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Plymouth win 4-3 on penalties
Hardie (58' pen.)
Whittaker (37')
Loft (50')
Saunders (60'), Rossiter (88')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 37
Plymouth
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Ennis (7', 45')
Ennis (18'), Opoku (39'), Lewis (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
gameweek 17
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Plymouth
Kilgour (7'), McCormick (26'), Westbrooke (85')
Upson (68')

Watts (40'), Fornah (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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