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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 41.15% | 26% | 32.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.31% | 50.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% | 72.6% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( | 24.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% | 58.76% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( | 29.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( | 65.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.85% |