League One Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Vale Park
  • Ellis Harrison 22' goal
  • Tom Pett 29' goal

Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Ipswich 2 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers 1 - 2 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result

Port Vale 41.15%
Draw 26%
Bristol Rovers 32.85% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.61% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.31%
Under 2.5 50.69% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.4%
Under 3.5 72.6% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 12.92%
Under 4.5 87.09% (+0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 75.64% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.36% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 41.24%
Under 1.5 58.76% (+0.01)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 70.88% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.12%
Over 1.5 34.95% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.05%

Score analysis

Port Vale 41.14%
Draw 25.99%
Bristol Rovers 32.85%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 7.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.4% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 32.85%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Aaron Collins 87' goal
League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jamie Proctor 2' goal
  • Connor Hall 47' yellowcard
  • Malvind Benning 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Connor Taylor 8'
  • goal Elliot Anderson 10'
  • yellowcard Harry Anderson 22'
  • goal James Connolly 32'
  • yellowcard Paul Coutts 45'
  • yellowcard Joshua Grant 51'
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 77'
  • goal Ryan Loft 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Elliot Anderson 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Sam Finley 15' redcard
  • Aaron Collins 56' goal
  • Cian Harries 77' redcard
  • Glenn Whelan 86' yellowcard
  • Brett Pitman 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Garrity 31'
  • goal Ben Garrity 33'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jones 58'
  • yellowcard Dennis Politic 60'
EFL Trophy
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ollie Clarke 16' goal
  • Ollie Clarke 22' yellowcard
  • Alex Rodman 45' yellowcard
  • Tom Nichols 62' goal
  • Alex Rodman 68' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Hannant 45'
  • yellowcard Tom Conlon 54'
  • redcard Tom Conlon 58'
League One
Feb 18, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rob Harris 54' goal
  • Kjell Knops 80' yellowcard
  • Danny Pugh 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 41'
  • yellowcard Bob Harris 42'
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 45'
  • goal Billy Bodin 78'
League One
Sep 24, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ellis Harrison 44' goal
  • Jermaine Easter 63' goal
  • Stuart Sinclair 87' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Paterson 23'
  • yellowcard Jerome Thomas 41'
  • yellowcard Remie Streete 60'
  • yellowcard Martin Paterson 61'
  • yellowcard Alex Jones 65'
  • yellowcard Michael Brown 95'