League Two
Gameweek
8
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fsallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F09%2Fnocou_1.png)
-
Ethan Ingram
76'
-
Conor McAleny
84'
-
Elliot Watt
86'
-
Kevin Berkoe
87'
-
Kevin Berkoe
90'+3'
-
David McGoldrick
37'
-
Dan Crowley
63'
-
Dan Crowley
68'
-
Jim O'Brien
82'
-
Aaron Nemane
89'
-
Aaron Nemane
90'+1'
Salford City vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Ffootball-general-generic.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result
Salford City
26.57%
▼
(-0.21)
Draw
23.5%
▼
(-0.10)
Notts County
49.93%
▲
(+0.30)
Both Teams to Score:
58.19%
▲
(+0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.99%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 2.5
43%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 3.5
34.59%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 3.5
65.4%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 4.5
17.96%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 4.5
82.03%
▼
(-0.19)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5
70.4%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
29.6%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
34.37%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
65.63%
▲
(+0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5
82.66%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 0.5
17.34%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
52.28%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 1.5
47.72%
▼
(-0.37)
Score analysis
Salford City
26.57%
Draw
23.5%
Notts County
49.93%
Salford City
2-1
@
6.66%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 26.57%
1-0 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 26.57%
Draw
1-1
@
10.94%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.5%
2-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.5%
Notts County
1-2
@
9.59%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 49.93%
0-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 49.93%