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Championship header 2

League Two

Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Notts County

Salford City
0 - 2
Notts County


Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Salford City and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Walsall
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawNotts County
26.57% (-0.206 -0.21)23.5% (-0.093 -0.09)49.93% (0.296 0.3)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99% (0.25 0.25)43% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.59% (0.249 0.25)65.4% (-0.253 -0.25)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)29.6% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)65.63% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (0.205 0.2)17.34% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (0.36 0.36)47.72% (-0.365 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 26.57%
    Notts County 49.93%
    Draw 23.5%
Salford CityDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.25% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 26.57%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.6% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 49.93%

How you voted: Salford City vs Notts County

Salford City
5.0%
Draw
15.0%
Notts County
80.0%
20