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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 48.79% ( | 25.01% ( | 26.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.16% | 49.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( | 71.83% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( | 20.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% | 52.91% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( | 33.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.86% ( | 70.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.78% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.49% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.2% |