/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrawlog.png)
-
Gary Caldwell
0'
-
Will Aimson
51'
-
Kyle Taylor
73'
-
Cheick Diabate
81'
-
James Scott
84'
-
Dion Rankine
90'+8'
-
Jake Richards
90'+10'
-
Klaidi Lolas
15'
-
Tobi Omole
18'
-
Joy Mukena
40'
-
Aaron Henry
71'
-
Travis Johnson
76'
-
Sonny Fish
81'
-
Klaidi Lolas
90'+3'
Exeter City vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match.
Result
Exeter City
40.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
25.04%
▲
(+0.01)
Crawley Town
34.79%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
57.34%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.9%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
46.1%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
31.6%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
68.4%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
15.79%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
84.21%
▲
(+0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
77.18%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
22.82%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
43.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
56.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
74.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
25.71%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
39.37%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
60.63%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Exeter City
40.17%
Draw
25.04%
Crawley Town
34.79%
Exeter City
2-1
@
8.7%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.17%
1-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.17%
Draw
1-1
@
11.77%
2-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
2-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
Crawley Town
1-2
@
8%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 34.79%
0-1 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 34.79%
