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Championship header 2

League Two

MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Notts County

MK Dons
1 - 1
Notts County

Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cameron (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawNotts County
28.23% (-0.116 -0.12)23.32% (0.016000000000002 0.02)48.44% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.172 -0.17)40.93% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.176 -0.18)63.32% (0.175 0.17)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.17 -0.17)27.33% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.22 -0.22)62.78% (0.219 0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)17.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)47.33% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 28.23%
    Notts County 48.44%
    Draw 23.32%
MK DonsDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.56% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.29% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 48.44%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Notts County

MK Dons
32.7%
Draw
44.2%
Notts County
23.1%
52
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
1-2
MK Dons
Barclay (94')
Mackail-Smith (73')
Wheeler (62'), Aneke (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
MK Dons
2-1
Notts County
Aneke (60' pen.), Healey (69')
Gilbey (6')
Alessandra (23')
Hemmings (17'), Ward (45'), Evina (45')
Turley (58')
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Notts County
Baker (63'), Baker (74'), Grigg (84', 93')
Randall (90')
Whitehouse (79')
Whitehouse (51'), Smith (57'), Spencer (97')
Dec 26, 2014 3pm
Notts County
0-1
MK Dons

McLaughlin (68')
Powell (31')
Mar 11, 2014 7.45pm
Notts County
1-3
MK Dons
Sheehan (70' pen.)
Grealish (60'), Smith (78')
Alli (3', 55', 90')
McLeod (12'), Alli (17'), Smith (42'), Baldock (60'), Gleeson (71')