League Two

League Two | Gameweek 6

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 1
Accrington

Crowley (7'), Langstaff (64', 90')
Jones (22'), Nemane (61'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+5'), Brindley (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Andrews (27')
Leigh (74'), Conneely (86')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Accrington
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Accrington Stanley
60.18% ( 0.03)	21.31% ( -0.04)	18.51% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.48% (

0.2)

42.52% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.07% (

0.2)

64.92% (

-0.21)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.28% (

0.07)

13.71% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.03% (

0.14)

40.96% (

-0.15)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.37% (

0.13)

36.62% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

0.13)

73.41% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Notts County 60.18%

Accrington Stanley 18.51%

Draw 21.3%

Notts County	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 60.18%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.3%	0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 18.51%