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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Notts County

Doncaster
1 - 3
Notts County

Sotona (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Langstaff (28', 46'), Jones (54')
McGoldrick (16'), Jones (18'), Bostock (21')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawNotts County
21.89% (0.0019999999999989 0)23.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 52.94% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (0.024999999999999 0.02)47.47% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.021999999999998 0.02)69.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)36.01% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)72.79% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)17.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 21.89%
    Notts County 54.62%
    Draw 23.49%
Doncaster RoversDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 5.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.24%
3-1 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.89%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 10.92%
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 9.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 5.62%
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 54.62%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Notts County
4-2
Doncaster
Dennis (15', 40', 63' pen.), Boldewijn (26')
Milsom (81')
May (50', 70')
Wilks (86')
Mar 14, 2017 7.45pm
Doncaster
3-1
Notts County
Coppinger (44'), Baudry (47'), Williams (95')
May (78')
Duffy (20')
Bola (71')
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Notts County
2-1
Doncaster
Thompson (8'), Noble (60')
Hollis (46'), Burke (64'), Bajner (70')
Tyson (95' pen.)
Butler (67'), Jones (91')
Jan 20, 2015 7.45pm