League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
2 - 1
Tranmere

McGoldrick (12'), Rawlinson (65')
Crowley (56'), Palmer (60'), Cameron (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hawkes (88')
Jolley (20'), Lewis (30'), Yarney (50')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Tranmere 3-4 Salford City
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
50.22% ( -0.6)	24.73% ( 0.2)	25.05% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 52.72% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.45% (

-0.5)

49.55% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.42% (

-0.45)

71.58% (

0.45)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26% (

-0.43)

19.74% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.23% (

-0.71)

51.77% (

0.71)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69% (

0.07)

34.3% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99% (

0.07)

71.01% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Notts County 50.21%

Tranmere Rovers 25.05%

Draw 24.72%

Notts County	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 50.21%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 25.05%