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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
50.22% ( -0.6) | 24.73% ( 0.2) | 25.05% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.45% ( -0.5) | 49.55% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.42% ( -0.45) | 71.58% ( 0.45) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.26% ( -0.43) | 19.74% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.23% ( -0.71) | 51.77% ( 0.71) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.69% ( 0.07) | 34.3% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.99% ( 0.07) | 71.01% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 50.21% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 25.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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