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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 35.26% ( | 26.59% ( | 38.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.24% ( | 52.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.61% ( | 74.39% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( | 28.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( | 64.42% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( | 26.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( | 62.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.13% |