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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | MK Dons |
| 30.62% ( | 25.59% ( | 43.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( | 49.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( | 71.73% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% | 30.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% | 66.28% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( | 22.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.74% ( | 56.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.2% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0-2 @ 7.53% 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.79% |