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[monks data]
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium MK
Crewe Alexandra

MK Dons
2 - 1
Crewe

Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')

Preview: MK Dons vs. Crewe Alexandra - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides at opposite ends of the League One table will do battle on Tuesday, as MK Dons play host to Crewe Alexandra.

The hosts are pushing to climb into the automatic promotion places after back-to-back wins, while their opponents are rooted to the foot of the division.


Match preview

MK Dons manager Liam Manning celebrates after the game on October 19, 2021© Reuters

MK Dons have established a strong and consistent run in recent weeks in their bid to earn automatic promotion to the Championship.

Liam Manning's side have now gone unbeaten in their last 13 league outings, earning 10 victories in that time to establish themselves in third spot.

Following a creditable 1-1 draw with second-placed Wigan Athletic, the Dons have recorded consecutive wins heading into Tuesday, firstly beating Cambridge United 1-0 away from home before earning a victory at home to Shrewsbury Town last time out.

Mo Eisa and Scott Twine got on the scoresheet in a dominant 2-0 victory, seeing Manning's men keep Wigan within touching distance and move closer to league leaders Rotherham United.

While the second-placed side have a one-point lead and two games in hand on MK Dons, they would leapfrog Rotherham and move into the top two with a home victory on Tuesday.

Crewe Alexandra manager David Artell on January 27, 2022© Reuters

They welcome a Crewe Alexandra side desperate to put an end to their dismal run, having quickly been cut adrift at the bottom of the table.

Having struggled throughout the entire campaign, the Railwaymen have hit a particularly tough spell since mid-January, losing 13 of their last 14 league outings.

After stopping a seven-game losing run with a surprise victory away at Cheltenham Town, David Artell's side were unable to build and remain competitive in the fight for survival, as they have since gone on to suffer another six straight defeats.

They most recently took on Fleetwood Town on Saturday, and, despite Chris Long pulling them level on the stroke of half time, they would fall to a 3-1 loss as Anthony Pilkington and Ellis Harrison hit second-half goals for the visitors.

As a result of their poor run of form in the new year, Artell's men find themselves stuck at the bottom of the division, five points behind 23rd-placed Doncaster Rovers and 12 points adrift of safety.

With only six games left to play, it is surely too late for Crewe to avoid the drop, but they will, at least, be keen to remain competitive and stop their rot against a promotion-chasing side on Tuesday.

MK Dons League One form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Crewe Alexandra League One form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

MK Dons striker Mohamed Eisa in action with Tottenham Hotspur's Cameron Carter-Vickers on July 28, 2021© Reuters

MK Dons should come into Tuesday's game with a clean bill of health, and Manning may opt to deploy an unchanged starting XI, although the likes of Theo Corbeanu, David Kasumu and Connor Wickham will be pushing for starts after making substitute appearances at the weekend.

Mo Eisa will continue to be a key man going forward, having netted his 11th league goal of the season last time out, while Scott Twine has been another star man, providing 15 goals and 11 assists in League One from the left-hand side of a front three.

Despite competition from Kasumu, the midfield duo of Josh McEachran and West Ham United loanee Conor Coventry is likely to remain unchanged after their dominant display, with Warren O'Hora, Harry Darling and Dean Lewington forming the back three.

On the contrary to their hosts, Crewe have several injuries to deal with, as stiker Mikael Mandron is out of action alongside Tariq Uwakwe, Billy Sass-Davies and Rio Adebisi.

Chris Long netted an eight league goal of the season in his 26th appearance last time out, and he will keep a place up front, likely alongside veteran Chris Porter.

MK Dons possible starting lineup:
Cumming; O'Hora, Darling, Lewington; Kesler, McEachran, Coventry, Harvie; Parrott, Eisa, Twine

Crewe Alexandra possible starting lineup:
Richards; Offord, Johnson, O'Riordan; Ainley, Finney, Harper, Lowery, Kashket; Porter, Long


SM words green background

We say: MK Dons 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

With more quality in their ranks and momentum on their side, everything points to an MK Dons win on Tuesday.

Manning's men have their sights set on the top two, and they should not be derailed at home to the league's basement side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crewe

MK Dons
79.5%
Draw
7.7%
Crewe Alexandra
12.8%
39
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Crewe Alexandra manager David Artell pictured in October 2019
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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