EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
0 - 0
Crewe

Garrity (28'), Cass (54'), Iacovitti (72'), Devine (84')

FT
(aet)

Thomas (24'), Williams (29'), Powell (78'), Nevitt (90+3')

Port Vale win 2-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Port Vale and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
48.18% ( -1.78)	25.4% ( 0.22)	26.42% ( 1.56)

Both teams to score 51.89% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.75% (

0.26)

51.25% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.92% (

0.22)

73.08% (

-0.23)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72% (

-0.66)

21.28% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.79% (

-1.03)

54.21% (

1.02)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.92% (

1.45)

34.07% (

-1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.24% (

1.53)

70.76% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 48.18%

Crewe Alexandra 26.42%

Draw 25.4%

Port Vale	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 48.18%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.26% Total : 26.42%