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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%).
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 29.04% | 25.76% | 45.2% |
| Both teams to score 52.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% | 51.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% | 72.98% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% | 31.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% | 68.44% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% | 22.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.82% | 56.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1.98% 3-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.04% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-2 @ 8% 1-3 @ 4.52% 0-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.19% |