League One Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Ben Garrity 72' goal
  • yellowcard Andy Carroll 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Lewis Wing 76'

Port Vale vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
Barnsley 7 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ben Garrity

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last game
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
Reading 0 - 1 Peterborough
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result

Port Vale 49.04% (+0.02)
Draw 25.96% (+0.01)
Reading 25% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.98% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.55% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 54.44% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 24.19% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.81% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 10.85% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.15% (+0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 77.77% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.23% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 44.34% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.65% (-0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 62.98% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 37.01% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 26.19% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 73.8% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Port Vale 49.04%
Draw 25.95%
Reading 25%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 12.37% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 4.66% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 49.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.23% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.95%
Reading
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 25%