League One

League One | Gameweek 2

Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 0
Reading

Garrity (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carroll (45+6'), Wing (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Millwall 0-4 Reading
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Reading
49.04% ( 0.02)	25.96% ( 0)	25% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.98% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.55% (

-0.01)

54.44% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.19% (

-0.01)

75.81% (

0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

22.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

0.01)

55.65% (

-0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.98% (

-0.02)

37.01% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.19% (

-0.02)

73.8% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 49.04%

Reading 25%

Draw 25.95%

Port Vale	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 49.04%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 25%