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EFL Cup

Port Vale
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Fleetwood Town

Port Vale
3 - 2
Fleetwood

Chislett (18', 72'), Thomas (58')
Arblaster (20'), Chislett (41'), Grant (68'), Iacovitti (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hayes (5'), Graydon (47')
Rooney (41'), Broom (66')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Port Vale and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 7-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawFleetwood Town
40.71% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)26.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)32.61% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.39% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (0.010999999999996 0.01)53.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (0.009999999999998 0.01)75.04% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)60.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31% (0.01400000000001 0.01)30.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)66.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 40.71%
    Fleetwood Town 32.61%
    Draw 26.68%
Port ValeDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.71%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.61%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Fleetwood

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fleetwood Town
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Fleetwood
1-1
Port Vale
Marriott (83')
Taylor (57')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Port Vale
2-1
Fleetwood
Smith (30'), Hall (32')
McDermott (43'), Ojo (45+1'), Smith (70')
Batty (6')
Wiredu (52')
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Fleetwood
2-1
Port Vale
Madden (14'), Morris (75')
Madden (32'), Whelan (90+2')
Whitehead (49')
Hurst (45+1'), Montano (64'), Brisley (70'), Mills (78')
Apr 30, 2017 12pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Port Vale
McLaughlin (6'), Bell (45')
Reeves (36'), Turner (45'), Purkiss (75')
Nov 12, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-1
Fleetwood
Cicilia (75'), Jones (86')
Alnwick (53'), Grant (56')
Grant (89')
Long (52')
Ekpolo (36')
Long (90')
rhs 2.0


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