League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 3
Plymouth

Plant (3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Randell (34'), Edwards (38'), Azaz (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Port Vale and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
32.47% ( 0.06)	26.26% ( 0.02)	41.27% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 52.65% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.12% (

-0.05)

51.88% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.37% (

-0.04)

73.63% (

0.05)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.04% (

0.01)

29.97% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.93% (

0.01)

66.08% (

-0.01)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.18% (

-0.06)

24.82% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.59% (

-0.08)

59.41% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 32.47%

Plymouth Argyle 41.27%

Draw 26.26%

Port Vale	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.47%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.27%