League One Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Vale Park
  • James Plant 3' goal
  • goal Adam Randell 34'
  • goal Joe Edwards 38'
  • goal Finn Azaz 61'

Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Charlton 3 - 2 Port Vale
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Plymouth 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Ryan Hardie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result

Port Vale 32.47% (+0.06)
Draw 26.26% (+0.02)
Plymouth Argyle 41.27% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.65% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.12% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 51.88% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 26.37% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 73.63% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 12.24% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 87.76% (+0.04)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 70.04% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.97% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.93% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.08% (-0.01)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 75.18% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 24.82% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 40.59% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 59.41% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Port Vale 32.47%
Draw 26.26%
Plymouth Argyle 41.27%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.96% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.53% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.02% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.26%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 10.36% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 41.27%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park
  • goal Tom Conlon 65'
  • goal James Wilson 71'
League Two Gameweek 46
Apr 25, 2020 3.00pm
Home Park
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Gibbons 6' yellowcard
  • Nathan Smith 76' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Mayor 43'
  • yellowcard Niall Canavan 47'
FA Cup
Jan 14, 2014 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Andres Gurrieri 2' goal
  • Conor Hourihane 36' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 13'
  • goal Jordan Hugill 30'
  • goal Ben Williamson 63'
  • yellowcard Chris Lines 74'
  • goal Jennison Myrie-Williams 75'
  • redcard Chris Lines 80'
  • yellowcard Chris Neal 90'
  • yellowcard Doug Loft 90'
FA Cup
Jan 5, 2014 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gavin Tomlin 15' goal
  • Gavin Tomlin 19' yellowcard
  • Tom Pope 36' goal
  • Chris Robertson 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Gurrieri 13'
  • goal Reuben Reid 51'
  • goal Ben Purrington 74'
League Two
Jan 5, 2013 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jennison Myrie-Williams 32' goal
  • Tom Pope 55' goal
  • Ben Williamson 77' goal
  • Tom Pope 83' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Young 18'
  • redcard Nick Chadwick 34'