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League One
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Vale Park
Plymouth Argyle

Port Vale
1 - 3
Plymouth

Plant (3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Randell (34'), Edwards (38'), Azaz (61')
Azaz (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Port Vale and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

 Port Vale have been devoid of confidence and any momentum in recent months, while their visitors have shone throughout the entire season and have their sights set on the title and the 100-point mark, and we see the Pilgrims scoring a relatively comfortable victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawPlymouth Argyle
32.47% (0.058 0.06) 26.26% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 41.27% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (-0.052 -0.05)51.88% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)73.63% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)66.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.82% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)59.41% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 32.47%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.27%
    Draw 26.26%
Port ValeDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.47%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 41.27%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Plymouth

Port Vale
15.8%
Draw
5.3%
Plymouth Argyle
78.9%
19
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Plymouth
0-2
Port Vale
Conlon (65'), Wilson (71')
Stevens (56')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
gameweek 46
Plymouth
P-P
Port Vale
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
gameweek 8
Port Vale
1-0
Plymouth
Smith (76')
Gibbons (6')

Mayor (43'), Canavan (47')
Jan 14, 2014 7.45pm
Third Round
Plymouth
2-3
Port Vale
Gurrieri (2'), Hourihane (36')
Hugill (30'), Williamson (63'), Myrie-Williams (75')
Dickinson (13'), Lines (74'), Neal (90'), Loft (90')
Lines (80')
> Match Report
Jan 5, 2014 3pm
Third Round
Port Vale
2-2
Plymouth
Tomlin (15'), Pope (36')
Tomlin (19'), Robertson (65')
Reid (51'), Purrington (74')
Gurrieri (13')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


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