EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 4
Reading

Leonard (25'), Saville (62'), Evans (85'), Bryan (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ehibhaimha (1', 51'), Savage (67'), Camara (88')
Knibbs (10'), Camara (19'), Rushesha (39'), Carson (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Millwall and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Reading
55.97% ( 0.03)	24.39% ( -0.01)	19.64% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.02% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.3% (

0.03)

53.7% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.81% (

0.02)

75.18% (

-0.02)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.92% (

0.02)

19.08% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.31% (

0.03)

50.68% (

-0.03)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.11%

41.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.66% (

78.34% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Millwall 55.96%

Reading 19.64%

Draw 24.39%

Millwall	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 13.24% 2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.96%	1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.64%