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Championship header 2

League One

Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Carlisle United

Port Vale
1 - 0
Carlisle

Wilson (50' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Port Vale
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawCarlisle United
32.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)28.19% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)39.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.82% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.72% (0.11499999999999 0.11)59.28% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)79.68% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (0.062000000000012 0.06)33.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.068000000000001 0.07)70.37% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (0.072999999999993 0.07)29.37% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.090000000000003 0.09)65.36% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 32.5%
    Carlisle United 39.29%
    Draw 28.19%
Port ValeDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.5%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.9% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 12.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 39.29%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Carlisle
1-3
Port Vale
Windsor (21')
Worrall (1'), Wilson (43'), Amoo (81')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Port Vale
0-0
Carlisle
Abrahams (70'), Dickenson (77')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Carlisle
0-0
Port Vale
Toure (86')
Worrall (52')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Port Vale
0-1
Carlisle

Crookes (20'), Whitehead (41'), Montano (90+2')
Mellish (55')
Alessandra (42')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 42
Carlisle
P-P
Port Vale
rhs 2.0


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