AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Carlisle United

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Carlisle

Harris (76')
Harris (39'), O'Donkor (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guy (51'), McCalmont (59'), Back (62'), Huntington (73'), Mellish (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol City 5-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCarlisle United
31.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)27.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)40.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.62% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)56.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)77.85% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.46% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)27.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93% (0.021999999999998 0.02)63.07% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 31.95%
    Carlisle United 40.53%
    Draw 27.52%
Oxford UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.95%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.53%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
0-2
Oxford Utd

Miller (66')
Maguire (4' pen.), Sercombe (74')
Maguire (18'), Wright (82')
Dec 12, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Carlisle
MacDonald (34')
Dunkley (45' og.)
Joyce (18')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Carlisle
Hoban (38'), Vassell (80')
Baldock (54')
Corry (9')
Acrhibald-Henville (66'), Buddle (77')
Acrhibald-Henville (68')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Oxford Utd
Beck (73'), Asamoah (89')
Marrow (50')
Hylton (45')
Nov 19, 2005 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Oxford Utd
Nadé (17'), Hawley (57')

Stirling (76')