League One Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • yellowcard Demetri Mitchell 25'
  • goal Ryan Trevitt 68'
  • goal Demetri Mitchell 81'

Carlisle United vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Carlisle 1 - 1 Wigan
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2023 8.00pm
Portsmouth 1 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Aitchison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 40.57% (+0.13)
Draw 26.28% (+0.04)
Exeter City 33.15% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.79% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.21% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 51.78% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 26.45% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 73.54% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 12.29% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 87.7% (+0.11)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 74.85% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 25.14% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.14% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.85% (+0.03)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 70.53% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 29.46% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 34.52% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 65.47% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 40.56%
Draw 26.27%
Exeter City 33.15%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.22% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.63% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.06% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.97% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.25% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.27%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 9.05% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 33.15%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Gibson 19' yellowcard
  • Jon Mellish 48' yellowcard
  • Brennan Dickenson 55' yellowcard
  • Dynel Simeu 82' yellowcard
  • goal Padraig Amond 89'
League Two Gameweek 17
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sam Nombe 60' goal
  • Jake Caprice 80' goal
  • redcard Jon Mellish 43'
  • yellowcard Mark Howard 60'
  • goal Jordan Gibson 84'
League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Lewis Alessandra 9' goal
  • Nick Anderton 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Parkes 83'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2020 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Tom Parkes 48' goal
  • Jack Sparkes 53' yellowcard
  • redcard Gime Toure 60'
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 18, 2020 3.00pm
St. James' Park
League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 7, 2019 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Olufela Olomola 61' goal
  • Harry McKirdy 71' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Sagaf 73' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Martin 36'
  • goal Aaron Martin 67'
  • goal Nicky Law 91'