League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 2
Exeter

FT(HT: 0-0)

Trevitt (68'), Mitchell (81')
Mitchell (25')

Coverage of the League One clash between Carlisle United and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Wigan
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Exeter
Tuesday, August 15 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Exeter City
40.57% ( 0.13)	26.28% ( 0.04)	33.15% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 52.79% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.21% (

-0.2)

51.78% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.45% (

-0.17)

73.54% (

0.17)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

-0.02)

25.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14% (

-0.03)

59.85% (

0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53% (

-0.21)

29.46% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52% (

-0.25)

65.47% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 40.56%

Exeter City 33.15%

Draw 26.27%

Carlisle United	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.56%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.15%