League One

League One | Gameweek 3

Aug 15, 2023 at 8pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Exeter

Bishop (70')
Poole (51'), Sparkes (74'), Robertson (79'), Ogilvie (89'), Shaughnessy (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hartridge (44')

Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-4 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Blackpool
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Exeter City
49.6% ( -0.53)	24.98% ( 0.14)	25.4% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 52.27% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69% (

-0.25)

50.31% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.74% (

-0.22)

72.25% (

0.22)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7% (

-0.32)

20.29% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.33% (

-0.51)

52.66% (

0.51)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.58% (

0.2)

34.41% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.88% (

0.21)

71.12% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 49.6%

Exeter City 25.4%

Draw 24.98%

Portsmouth	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.6%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.18% Total : 25.4%