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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 41.66% ( | 27.38% ( | 30.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.31% ( | 56.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% ( | 77.64% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( | 26.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( | 62.11% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( | 33.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( | 70.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.96% |