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Championship header 2

League Two

Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
MK Dons

Crawley
2 - 1
MK Dons

Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Crawley
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
35.89% (0.356 0.36)26.39% (0.004999999999999 0)37.72% (-0.363 -0.36)
Both teams to score 52.9% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)51.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.62% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.217 0.22)27.8% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.276 0.28)63.39% (-0.277 -0.28)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)26.74% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99% (-0.267 -0.27)62.01% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 35.89%
    MK Dons 37.72%
    Draw 26.39%
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 37.72%

How you voted: Crawley vs MK Dons

Crawley Town
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Crawley
2-2
MK Dons
McLeod (14' pen., 48')
Tomlin (90')
Grigg (76'), Alli (90')
Alli (87'), Grigg (90'), Baker (90')
Aug 30, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Alli (15'), Afobe (92')
Powell (64'), Carruthers (89')
McFadzean (69')

Henderson (25'), Tomlin (39'), Harrold (89')
Apr 12, 2014 3.07pm
MK Dons
0-2
Crawley

Rasulo (85')
Drury (7'), Jones (45')
Sadler (39'), Jones (85')