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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 42.4% | 26.24% | 31.37% |
| Both teams to score 52.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.88% | 52.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.16% | 73.84% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% | 24.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% | 58.76% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% | 30.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% | 67.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.37% |