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Championship header 2

League Two

Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
MK Dons

Colchester
2 - 3
MK Dons

Taylor (10', 13')
Ihionvien (42'), Fevrier (45+2'), Chilvers (67'), Tchamadeu (81'), Egbo (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Eisa (8'), Gilbey (88'), Dennis (90+10')
Eisa (45+5'), Harvie (82'), Gilbey (84'), Grant (90+6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawMK Dons
37.44% (0.032000000000004 0.03)26.68% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)35.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.95% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)53.06% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.030000000000001 0.03)27.46% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.039000000000001 0.04)62.95% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.0020000000000095 0)28.38% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.13% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 37.44%
    MK Dons 35.88%
    Draw 26.67%
Colchester UnitedDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.88%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Colchester
2-0
MK Dons
Szmodics (2'), Kent (47')
Kent (41'), Norris (92')

Agard (34'), Walker (87')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
MK Dons
0-1
Colchester

Pawlett (67'), D'Ath (89'), Gilbey (90')
Prosser (11')
Nouble (88'), Lapslie (90')
Feb 17, 2015 7.45pm
Colchester
0-1
MK Dons

Lapslie (39')
Alli (44')
McFadzean (28'), Potter (38')
Nov 29, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
6-0
Colchester
Alli (11'), Afobe (37', 45', 58'), Reeves (67' pen.), Hodson (91')

Fox (33'), Kpekawa (52')
Packwood (67')
Jan 1, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
0-0
Colchester
Potter (43'), Spence (66'), Carruthers (76'), Gleeson (92')
Wilson (70'), Bean (92')